South Australian COVID-19 Omicron Modelling

14 January 2022


Modelling, undertaken by Professor Joshua Ross at the University of Adelaide, projects the impact of COVID-19 and the Omicron variant in South Australia.

The Chief Public Health Officer, Professor Nicola Spurrier, outlines the major findings of the modelling, including:

  • South Australia could have experienced a peak of between 30,000 to 40,000 cases a day by the third week of January without the implementation of restrictions on Boxing Day 2021.
  • The likely peak of cases is now expected to be between 6,000 and 10,000 cases a day, with the peak expected to arrive between 15-25 January.
  • At the peak, the modelling predicts SA will see around 370 hospital admissions and 50 people in ICU at peak occupancy.

This modelling is an important tool in helping us with our planning and demonstrates the benefits of South Australians continuing to do the right thing and getting a booster as soon as possible.